March 2026 Real Estate Market Update

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Spring Momentum Builds Across the Peninsula

As we move into the spring season, the housing market across San Francisco, San Mateo, and Santa Clara counties is beginning to heat up quickly. Rising buyer demand combined with a limited supply of homes for sale is creating a more competitive environment, with faster sales and an increasing number of homes receiving multiple offers.

Spring is typically the most active period of the year for real estate, and early indicators suggest that 2026 is following that familiar pattern. When buyer demand significantly exceeds available inventory, upward pressure on home prices tends to follow. Historically, median home prices often reach their highest levels of the year during the spring months, driven by strong competition and a seasonal increase in luxury home sales.

Houses Continue to Outperform Condos

One trend that continues from last year is the difference in performance between property types. Single-family homes are seeing stronger market conditions than condos, reflecting the preferences of many buyers who prioritize space and long-term investment value. Meanwhile, condos remain an important entry point for buyers, though they generally face softer demand compared to detached homes.

Affluent Buyers Driving Demand

Another key factor shaping the market is the continued influence of higher-income buyers. Many affluent households have benefited from strong stock market performance and wealth generated through the ongoing AI and tech boom in Silicon Valley and San Francisco. This has helped sustain demand in higher-priced segments of the market and contributed to ongoing home price appreciation in desirable neighborhoods.

The Economic Wild Card

Looking ahead, the biggest uncertainty for the housing market is the potential impact of global events, particularly the ongoing conflict involving Iran. Any sustained effects on inflation, interest rates, financial markets, or consumer confidence could influence housing activity in the months ahead.

At this point, however, economic indicators do not suggest a major disruption to local real estate conditions. Unless there is a significant deterioration in the broader economy, the Peninsula housing market is expected to remain resilient through the spring season.

What This Means for Buyers and Sellers

For buyers, the key will be preparation. With competition increasing, having financing ready and working with an experienced advisor can make a meaningful difference.

For homeowners considering selling, the coming months may present a favorable window as demand strengthens and inventory remains limited.

If you’re thinking about buying, selling, or simply want to understand how the market is affecting your home’s value, I’m always happy to be a resource. Book a free consultation with me today.

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